Richard
Hildreth
American
Military University #4089144
HLSS
211 - Emergency Response to Terrorism
Professor
Michael Thornal
Terrorism
and CBRNE Awareness Education
Few people
would disagree that if given the opportunity, there are terrorists who would be
willing to use CBRNE (Chemical, Biological, Radiological, Nuclear, and
Explosive) weapons on American soil. History has shown that Al-Qaida and other
groups have experimented with or attempted to obtain CBRNE weapons. It is
believed that at least from a knowledge standpoint, they may be capable of
delivery and we are lucky to have not already faced multiple CBRNE events. When such an event does occur, the impact may
reach far beyond the footprint of the attack itself; fear, frustration, anger
and disruption of normal life will work as a force multiplier and extend the
impacts across the nation. This is why,
as part of our overall national preparedness, a realistic training program on
terrorism and CBRNE weapons is important. In addition to the DHS funded
training programs such as those taught at the Center for Domestic Preparedness
(http://cdp.dhs.gov/)
in Anniston Alabama, entry level training programs that stress the need for
CBRNE preparedness need to be developed.
We can have the best preparedness and training programs in the world; if
we do not get the right people to recognize the scope of the problem these
great training programs can never truly be effective.
CBRNE Awareness
training of responders, business and government leaders as well as civilian
volunteers can help mitigate the threat and impact of CBRNE events. This training should include recognition of
the threat itself, understanding of the impacts of an attack and recognition of
what may be vulnerable as a target. The training must stress critical thinking,
not be limited to tactics of conventional warfare and provide just enough
detail to demonstrate how critical CBRNE preparedness is. If this awareness training gets too detailed,
it is possible that participants will lose interest or feel the training is too
complicated for them to understand. The
training should not be teaching participants what to think, as the threat
itself is constantly evolving; instead it should be encouraging participants to
think out of the box as the next attack may be asymmetrical in nature. As the 9/11 Commission stated in its final
report, the acts of September 11, 2001 was “a failure of imagination” (The
9/11 Commission Report, 2004). We
can never again allow that type of failure to threaten the United States of
America.
Terrorism
itself is defined in 28 C.F.R. § 0.85 as “the unlawful use of force and violence against persons
or property to intimidate or coerce a government, the civilian population, or
any segment thereof, in furtherance of political or social objectives” (FBI General
Functions, 1969).
It could be domestic in origin, committed on US soil by US residents; or
it could be international in origin, funded or conducted by any number of
extremist organizations who normally operate outside of US borders. Unlike acts of war, targets of terrorism
events are often civilians and the events are not conducted by state or
government sponsored military units. We
cannot allow preconceived notions to limit our perspective of who a terrorist
might be. Realistic discussion of what
terrorism is needs to be part of this CBRNE awareness training.
Too
often when the word “terrorism” is used, people will automatically think of
Islamic Fundamentalist and forget that is only one facet of the terrorism
threat. It is true that groups like Al-Qaida (AQ) and Islamic
Jihad Group (IJU) are Islamic terrorist organizations
("Counter Terrorism 2013 Calendar," 2012),
but they are not the only organizations promoting terrorist acts on US
soil. US born organizations motivated by
political, religious, environmental or other issues have been known to commit
acts of terror on US soil and can be expected to do so again (United
States Air Force, 2004). Recognizing who
the terrorist might be and what their motivational factors are is critical in
any training program. Perceptions of ideology and motivation are important
factors in determining possible targets and vulnerabilities. It should be
remembered that most people of Islamic faith are not jihadist. Just like most
environmental activists would never think about committing an act of terrorism.
The fact is, even inside many activist organizations and communities, acts of
terrorism are often disdained (Smith, R. K. 38:2). Too often, people will
overreact to legitimate protest, blame innocent ethnic communities and paint
entire organizations or populations as terrorist. A problem this creates is the alienation of
members of a community that might otherwise be willing to provide information
that could help stop a real act.
Recognition of who the terrorists are and more importantly are not is a
critical part of any awareness program.
The type of
target selected can often be predicted by the overall objectives of an
individual or group. Politically motivated groups or individuals will more
likely chose highly symbolic targets such as government buildings, banks and
multinational corporations. Groups like ALF (Animal Liberation Front) and ELF (Earth
Liberation Front) might choose a university research laboratory or a large
scale development. In trying to promote political, religious or social change,
a soft target may also be chosen primarily to inject fear, hopelessness and a
feeling that government cannot protect them.
The ability to perceive motivational factors is a key aspect of
mitigating threats (Hildreth, 2013).
This discussion needs to be a part of the CBRNE awareness training.
Recognition
of vulnerabilities and symbolism is also a critical part of this training. Large manufacturing, power plants, critical
infrastructure and places of assembly all have certain aspects that make them
attractive as a target; however targets that also have some symbolic
relationship raise their attractiveness. As an example, if reports are received
warning that a local Neo Nazi
organization, is planning an attack on April 20 (Adolph Hitler’s birthday) it
would make sense that likely targets might include a Jewish Synagogue or a
location promoting the mixing of races.
If a report is received that Al-Qaida wants to attack the US in revenge
for the death of Osama Bin Laden, additional measures around likely targets
might be considered around the first week of May. A target might not be chosen with
the purpose of killing the most number of civilians but rather to cause severe
economic, social and physiological impact.
Every target is not going to be a high level visible target such as the
World Trade Center. In a world where asymmetric targets and warfare is used,
creativity and critical thinking is essential in planning
(Kolodzie, 2001). The training program should be
written to promote this level of analysis.
Currently,
most communities lack the capacity to adequately deal with the consequences of
a CBRNE attack. We lack enough trained personnel, even combining all federal
and private resources (Franco & Bouri,
2010).
Education programs can help leverage the limited resources if
communities take advantage of the programs available. The purpose of
this CBRNE awareness training would be to expose responders and leadership to the
real threats and vulnerabilities in hopes they will then reflect on their own
capabilities.
This program
should follow the proven adult education concepts of combining lecture with
exercise and group activities. It should be a realistic discussion of the
challenges they might have in conducting a CBRNE attack, while tempered with
the reality that many of these challenges can be overcome by determined
individuals. In addition to discussions, participants
should have the opportunity to practice what they have learned in exercises
using dramatic yet plausible scenarios. Prior to September 11, 2001, few people
would have thought of terrorists flying commercial airliners into the World
Trade Center and Pentagon as a viable threat. The following scenarios are
examples taken from Homeland Security Table Top exercises. This training should
include exercises that cause the participant to consider the impacts of worst
case scenarios. They should stress how terrorist events might use events to
create paralyzing fear and disruption of services. The following are two
examples of Table Top Exercises currently under development.
(Note:
both of these Scenarios are original materials being used for TTX exercises to
be developed. Scenario 1 would be used
for a class similar to what I teach at EMI.
Scenario 2 would be used for a local Seattle based exercise.)
Scenario 1- Chemical Attack:
A
terrorist cell, loosely affiliated with Al-Qaida of the Arabian Peninsula
(AQAP) is believed to be planning an attack to coincide with the anniversary of
the September 11th terror attacks. Possible targets are unknown but
the cell is believed to possess large amounts of potassium cyanide and sulfuric acid. Three members of this cell were last seen driving north on
US 107 from Fisherville, located in Liberty County, State of Columbia.
A school district work van pulls into the parking
lot of John Chapman Elementary School located on K and 3rd Ave in
Central City. Two men get out wearing
what appears to be maintenance uniforms and proceed to an HVAC unit located on
a lower roof. The workmen access the air intake system on one of the units and
install a device that upon command will allow liquid sulfuric acid to mix with
crystalized potassium cyanide. The unit
produces hydrogen cyanide gas at a concentration of about 5600 ppm and is
ingested into the school’s air conditioning system. The men exit the roof, walk
quickly to the work van and drive off.
Inside the classroom the first hints of something
wrong is the faint odor of almonds. The
first symptoms are an increased heart rate and restlessness of the teachers and
children located in the classroom directly underneath the HVAC unit. Some
students soon complain about headaches, while others appear giddy and
intoxicated. Shortly thereafter the
teacher and five children collapse and a panicked classroom of children down
the hall towards the main office. Other classrooms appear to be suffering
similar issues.
After a period of confusion the school notifies
authorities and evacuates the school. It
is noticed that of the estimated 300 students and 39 staff on campus that
morning, less than half appear to be out of the school. As responders enter the
school, initial tests show a concentration of 50 mg/m3 near the
entrance and higher concentrations of 200 mg/m3 near the first
classroom. Responders also notice 12
adults and 65 children collapsed in the hallway, some dead and some suffering
severe respiratory problems. Additional
victims, 3 adults and 15 more children are dead in the first two
classrooms. A group of 20 students and a
teacher are found in the library huddled in a corner; although some exhibit
symptoms of poisoning concentrations were less than 30 mg/m3 and
everyone is safe.
Key Talking Points:
·
Would
this be seen as an effective attack?
Why?
·
How
viable would an attack like this be on a school or other soft target in your jurisdiction?
·
What
would be the impact in your jurisdiction if this event was to happen elsewhere
in the nation?
·
What
would be the impact on your responders if this was to happen in your
jurisdiction?
·
What
steps could be done to reduce the vulnerability of this school?
Instructors
Notes:
·
An
event like this would result in panic across this nation; if we cannot protect
our children against a chemical attack like this then no one is safe.
·
A
natural impact across this nation would be paralyzing fear and a reluctance to
allow children to go to school.
Additionally children themselves would have unreasonable fear as they
have more difficulty separating actual vulnerability from imagination.
·
Responders
would most likely need counseling. Some could suffer from severe depression and
possibly suicide.
·
The
unfortunate reality is there is little that could be done to prevent this type
of attack. Some mitigation such as
locked access to HVAC units could be used; however it would be difficult to
prevent access.
NOTE: Concentrations and effects of gas courtesy
of Organization for
the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (Hydrogen Cyanide,
2010).
Scenario
2 – Dirty Bomb
Part
One
The Port of
Seattle and the Department of Homeland Security has spent millions of dollars
installing security, radiation detectors and other equipment in the 5
waterfront terminals located in King County, Washington. Like other port
districts across the nation, concerns over the possibility of a dirty bomb
being brought into the United States in a shipping container have resulted in
multi-layer screening of shipping containers.
These screenings include inspections at port of origin, while in transit
and in port. The concerns are centered on the possibility of a radiological
weapon being detonated in one of America’s major ports and the world wide
impacts that might have on international trade (Rosoff & von Winterfeldt,
2007, p. 536).
Key Talking Points:
·
What impacts could be
expected if a Radiological Device was detonated in the Port of Seattle?
·
How would this disrupt
International trade?
·
What would the
economic impacts of this event be?
·
Are there any
weaknesses in the security system that could be improved to prevent this type
of event? At what cost?
Part
Two
Shortly after 8
AM, a driver approaches Terminal 47 near downtown Seattle with a container
being shipped from the Midwest to China.
The container was picked up at the nearby rail switching yard by a
contract driver. All shipping documents appear to be correct and the driver is
directed to a row of containers to await loading onto an outgoing ship.
At 10:04 a
remote detonation device triggers a blasting cap inside the container and detonates
2000 pounds of ANFO (Ammonium Nitrate - Fuel Oil) mixture, surrounded by
radiological medical waste; the radioactive material that was, at least on
paper supposedly headed for proper disposal by an EPA registered contractor at
Yucca Mountains, Nevada.
The 2000 pounds
of ANFO, detonates at a VOD (Velocity of Detonation) of over 12,000 fps
("Explosives - ANFO (Ammonium," 2011), and results in a blast area of
¼ mile (Introduction to Explosives, 2012, p.17). Radioactive debris from the medical waste is
scattered throughout waterfront area. A
plume of smoke and radioactive material drifts towards Pioneer Square and the
SODO district of Seattle.
Key Points:
·
How would the impacts
of this event be different than an incident from a ship side container?
·
How would this impact
International Shipping?
·
What could the
economic impacts of this event be?
Instructors Notes:
·
Economic impact of
this event (not including decontamination) would be an estimated $200 million
for a month long shut down.
·
Decontamination cost
could be in the $10 - $100 million range
When the next
CBRNE attack occurs on US soil, will we be prepared? Will our responders have the proper training
and equipment and will our policy leaders recognize the critical need for CBRNE
preparedness? The purpose of training programs like the one proposed is to help
move our nation in that direction. There will always be resistance from those
individuals who suffer from the Ostrich Syndrome (Goldsmith, 1970). To them it is easier to ignore the possibility
and hope that it never occurs. We may never have 100% participation in
preparedness or perception of the CBRNE threat: however every time this type of
training convinces someone to prepare, that moves us that much closer to being
prepared.
References:
Counter
Terrorism 2013 Calendar. (2012, January 27). Retrieved from National Counter
Terrorism Center website: http://www.nctc.gov/site/other/fto.html
Explosives
- ANFO (Ammonium Nitrate - Fuel Oil). (2011, July 7). Retrieved from
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/systems/munitions/explosives-anfo.htm
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/systems/munitions/explosives-anfo.htm
FBI
General Functions, 28 C.F.R. § 0.85 (1969).
Franco,
C., & Bouri, N. (2010, April 9). Feds Would Face Problems in a Bio
Attack Clean-Up: Analysis Reveals Progress but Some Gaps Remain. Retrieved
from Center for Biosecurity -University of Pittsburg Medical Center
website: http://www.upmc-biosecurity.org/website/about_us/pressroom/archive/
2010-04-12_decon_report.html
Attack Clean-Up: Analysis Reveals Progress but Some Gaps Remain. Retrieved
from Center for Biosecurity -University of Pittsburg Medical Center
website: http://www.upmc-biosecurity.org/website/about_us/pressroom/archive/
2010-04-12_decon_report.html
Goldsmith,
E. (1970, December 1). The Ostrich Syndrome [Speech transcript].
Retrieved from http://www.edwardgoldsmith.org/717/the-ostrich-syndrome/
Retrieved from http://www.edwardgoldsmith.org/717/the-ostrich-syndrome/
Hildreth,
R. (Presenter). (2013, March 5). Integrated Emergency Management
Class (IEMC) E-915. Lecture presented at Emergency Management Institute.
Class (IEMC) E-915. Lecture presented at Emergency Management Institute.
Hydrogen
Cyanide. (2010). Retrieved from Organization for the Prohibition of
Chemical Weapons website: http://www.opcw.org/about-chemical-weapons/
types-of-chemical-agent/blood-agents/hydrogen-cyanide/
Chemical Weapons website: http://www.opcw.org/about-chemical-weapons/
types-of-chemical-agent/blood-agents/hydrogen-cyanide/
Kolodzie,
M. L. (2001, August). Commentary: the Asymmetric Threat. Retrieved from United
States Military Academy - WestPoint website:
http://www.almc.army.mil/alog/issues/JulAug01/MS628.htm
http://www.almc.army.mil/alog/issues/JulAug01/MS628.htm
Rosoff,
H., & von Winterfeldt, D. (2007). A Risk and Economic Analysis of Dirty
Bomb Attacks on the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. Society for Risk
Analysis, 27(3), 533-546. http://dx.doi.org /10.1111/ j.1539-6924.2007.00908.x
Bomb Attacks on the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. Society for Risk
Analysis, 27(3), 533-546. http://dx.doi.org /10.1111/ j.1539-6924.2007.00908.x
Smith,
R. K. (issue 38:2). “Ecoterrorism”?: A Critical Analysis of the
Vilification of Radical Environmental Activists as Terrorists. Retrieved from Lewis and Clark Law School -Environmental law online website: http://www.elawreview.org/elaw/382/ ecoterrorism_a_critical_analys.html
Vilification of Radical Environmental Activists as Terrorists. Retrieved from Lewis and Clark Law School -Environmental law online website: http://www.elawreview.org/elaw/382/ ecoterrorism_a_critical_analys.html
Technical
Resource for Incident Prevention: Introduction to Explosives.
(2012).
Retrieved from Department of Homeland Security website:
http://info.publicintelligence.net/DHS-Explosives.pdf
Retrieved from Department of Homeland Security website:
http://info.publicintelligence.net/DHS-Explosives.pdf
The
9/11 Commission Report. (2004, August).
Retrieved from National Commission
on Terrorist Attacks upon the United States website:
http://govinfo.library.unt.edu/911/report/911Report_Exec.htm
on Terrorist Attacks upon the United States website:
http://govinfo.library.unt.edu/911/report/911Report_Exec.htm
United
States Air Force. (2004). The Dynamic Terrorist Threat (Research Report
No. F49642-01-C-0003) (K. Cragin & S. A. Daly, Authors). Retrieved from
Rand website: http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=
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